Farmer Feedback: USDA

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• Could be wrong but prices seems to rally over non-harvest government shutdown periods. Also not a lot of data to back this up but there have always been farmers who refused goverment payments and such didnt participate in reporting acres. NASS is supposed to figure these acres somehow and I believe their methodology is outdated and error prone. The farmers who didnt participate in gov programs eventually quit/retire/bankrupt/etc.. and their acres tend to get consolidated to larger farm operations. These larger operations are probably utilizing gov programs and /some/ of them might be reporting acres (although without base acres they probably wouldn't be recieving payments I assume). I think NASS figures these acres wrong and there are some acres that are double counted. I think the national average is likely higher but the acres is low enough to offset any gain in total production. .

• 2019 I believe was the year. They came out saying huge crop. Everyone was sold and moved on to 2020 when they came out and made a large correction. The market still didn’t move enough because it was old news and the market was on to new things like weather acres etc. The usda has essentially done the same thing again in 2026. The internet is full of information. Almost everything I see in fall of 2026 is average to below average crops. The crops in our area experienced extensive hail. The record yield we are slated for just doesn’t seem possible from the evidence I see. I believe they will go back and correct it after it’s too late and we have all lost $$$$$$. I believe this time it’s a gambit to get China to buy large amounts of US agricultural goods.

• Their data that they use to produce their reports are BOGUS! As my late father said 36+ years ago, "You need to remember that there are more consumers that vote than producers that vote". 2026 we all heard about inflation al year long. The USDA comes out and rather drop the 2025 crop we RAISE stocks. Then we follow that up with an inflated October WASDE report. My corn yields are 3.5% below y/a and 4% below the same fields 2 years ago. And from what I am hearing, y yields here in NW IA are at the top end of what's out there. After the 2019 acreage/prevent plant debacle in ND where it took the USDA 18 months to finally admit their error, why would anyone trust their data much less give them anymore information.

• The "mistakes" they admitted to here in October about Sept 26 report and the mistake they admitted too late for the 2024 marketing year lowering effect were the hardest hits for me and other Nebraska producers. These reports proved to be inaccurate months after the damage to markets (producers) was already done and there is no way for farmers to fight back. I'm also tired of the subsidy payments that we keep getting as a poss poor "apology" from the government that keeps f*****g us over by waging war on people and markets globally that have caused our energy, fertilizer, chemicals, seed costs to skyrocket. Doesn't matter who you vote for, they're in the club and we aren't.